{"id":10729,"date":"2026-05-15T17:47:20","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T20:47:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oexpressobr.com.br\/?p=10729"},"modified":"2026-05-15T17:47:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T20:47:21","slug":"escandalo-bolsomaster-e-novas-pesquisas-tensionam-disputa-entre-lula-e-flavio-bolsonaro-para-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oexpressobr.com.br\/?p=10729","title":{"rendered":"Esc\u00e2ndalo BolsoMaster e novas pesquisas tensionam disputa entre Lula e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro para 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O cen\u00e1rio pol\u00edtico nacional ganhou novos contornos de extrema tens\u00e3o com o avan\u00e7o das investiga\u00e7\u00f5es sobre o chamado caso &#8220;Master&#8221;. O epis\u00f3dio, apelidado por opositores de &#8220;BolsoMaster&#8221;, envolve o vazamento de \u00e1udios do senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) com o ex-banqueiro e empres\u00e1rio e acabou virando o principal combust\u00edvel para o debate eleitoral que antecede a divulga\u00e7\u00e3o dos novos dados das pesquisas de inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto.<br>A crise estourou ap\u00f3s a revela\u00e7\u00e3o de di\u00e1logos e transa\u00e7\u00f5es suspeitas envolvendo empresas ligadas a interlocutores de Fl\u00e1vio, levantando questionamentos sobre o financiamento de despesas da fam\u00edlia, inclusive de seu irm\u00e3o Eduardo Bolsonaro no exterior. Aliados admitem reservadamente o desgaste na imagem do pr\u00e9-candidato do PL, criticando a demora e o tom da rea\u00e7\u00e3o da pr\u00e9-campanha, o que deu muni\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 esquerda para consolidar o slogan &#8220;BolsoMaster&#8221; nas redes sociais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O reflexo nas pesquisas eleitorais<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O esc\u00e2ndalo atinge em cheio um momento em que a oposi\u00e7\u00e3o vinha celebrando uma trajet\u00f3ria de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o. Os institutos de pesquisa vinham registrando um derretimento na vantagem inicial que o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) mantinha no final do ano passado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Cen\u00e1rio de equil\u00edbrio:<\/strong> Levantamentos anteriores j\u00e1 mostravam um empate t\u00e9cnico acirrado em simula\u00e7\u00f5es de segundo turno, com Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro oscilando na casa dos 46% contra 45% de Lula.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Primeiro Turno:<\/strong> O petista vinha liderando as inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto com margens estreitas (entre 38% e 39%), seguido de perto pelo senador fluminense (que registrava entre 32% e 34%).<br>O Datafolha concluiu um novo levantamento nacional presencial para medir o real impacto do caso Master, al\u00e9m de avaliar temas como a rejei\u00e7\u00e3o do nome de Jorge Messias ao STF pelo Senado e o programa Desenrola. Os resultados come\u00e7am a ser divulgados e prometem redesenhar as estrat\u00e9gias de marketing pol\u00edtico de ambos os lados.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rea\u00e7\u00f5es de bastidores e os rumos da campanha<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Enquanto o Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) tenta capitalizar o esc\u00e2ndalo para tirar o foco de cr\u00edticas econ\u00f4micas e institucionais que vinham desgastando o governo, a c\u00fapula do PL realizou reuni\u00f5es de emerg\u00eancia com advogados e marqueteiros.<br>A defesa de Fl\u00e1vio sustenta que n\u00e3o houve qualquer ilegalidade nas conversas e defende que, na \u00e9poca dos di\u00e1logos, n\u00e3o existiam impedimentos ou suspeitas formais contra os interlocutores citados. No entanto, o contra-ataque considerado &#8220;acuado&#8221; gerou desconforto em setores da direita, que temem que a vidra\u00e7a do &#8220;BolsoMaster&#8221; reverta a tend\u00eancia de queda de Lula observada no primeiro trimestre do ano. Com o eleitorado altamente polarizado, os pr\u00f3ximos n\u00fameros das pesquisas quantitativas ditar\u00e3o se a crise resultar\u00e1 em um dano permanente ou se ser\u00e1 absorvida pela base fiel do bolsonarismo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O cen\u00e1rio pol\u00edtico nacional ganhou novos contornos de extrema tens\u00e3o com o avan\u00e7o das investiga\u00e7\u00f5es sobre o chamado caso &#8220;Master&#8221;. O epis\u00f3dio, apelidado por opositores 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